Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.048221 1.189415 1.343291 1.523553 1.729092 1.956332 2.226869
2026-01-04 0.810139 0.996997 1.218276 1.500147 1.850420 2.272383 2.820824
2026-01-11 0.700517 0.911925 1.177132 1.535307 2.008109 2.613241 3.450336
2026-01-18 0.613158 0.835330 1.127369 1.541024 2.114694 2.886336 4.010073
2026-01-25 0.537691 0.761583 1.067910 1.519955 2.174163 3.092845 4.491886
2026-02-01 0.473111 0.693563 1.006072 1.484338 2.203277 3.252439 4.915539
2026-02-08 0.419574 0.634518 0.949161 1.446884 2.221392 3.392038 5.317126
2026-02-15 0.387334 0.603084 0.928561 1.459687 2.313555 3.647689 5.919341
2026-02-22 0.355101 0.567978 0.898188 1.452798 2.371826 3.852821 6.457847
2026-03-01 0.324496 0.532206 0.862878 1.433439 2.406105 4.019666 6.946070
2026-03-08 0.290509 0.487615 0.809021 1.377605 2.372736 4.068658 7.233375
2026-03-15 0.268351 0.460649 0.781608 1.363359 2.407995 4.235787 7.743158
2026-03-22 0.254231 0.448462 0.781950 1.404550 2.558077 4.642413 8.781308
2026-03-29 0.230700 0.417895 0.748291 1.383210 2.596183 4.858304 9.504171
2026-04-05 0.217872 0.405047 0.744467 1.415521 2.736835 5.279092 10.677417
2026-04-12 0.202782 0.386294 0.727634 1.420775 2.825013 5.607681 11.706343
2026-04-19 0.186300 0.363115 0.699952 1.401412 2.861253 5.835977 12.554153
2026-04-26 0.170084 0.338778 0.667507 1.368677 2.865767 5.998682 13.280053
2026-05-03 0.155422 0.316070 0.635990 1.334250 2.862310 6.143126 13.982533
2026-05-10 0.146902 0.305048 0.626947 1.346019 2.959292 6.514197 15.250841
2026-05-17 0.137423 0.291081 0.610412 1.339686 3.015175 6.799960 16.355600
2026-05-24 0.127787 0.275851 0.589729 1.321892 3.042798 7.024041 17.340049
2026-05-31 0.116233 0.255363 0.555801 1.270564 2.986660 7.046241 17.823948